Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.46
Draw
3.65
Away Win
2.05
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Trabzonspor edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Trabzonspor slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Trabzonspor stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Trabzonspor have secured just one win and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Samsunspor have managed a solitary victory and a single draw in that same span at home. Samsunspor have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Trabzonspor rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Trabzonspor won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 7 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Samsunspor's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Samsunspor
No current absences reported
Trabzonspor
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Samsunspor win
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.8%
±0.0 pts
Trabzonspor win
Latest market chance 46.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.9% → 46.8%
−0.1 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SamsunsporTrabzonspor
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
4th
7
Games Played
8
0.57
Points/Game
1.63
1.00
Goals/Game
2.12
2.43
Conceded/Game
0.75
13.2
Shots/Game
14.2
2.7
Shots on Target
6.5
Home vs Away Context
Samsunspor at home (4 matches) vs Trabzonspor away (4 matches)
0.25
Points/Game
0.25
1.25
Goals/Game
0.50
3.75
Conceded/Game
1.25
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Samsunspor
Home form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Trabzonspor
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Samsunspor Wins
2
Draws
2
Trabzonspor Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.2
Samsunspor0 – 3Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor1 – 1Samsunspor
Trabzonspor2 – 2Samsunspor
Samsunspor2 – 1Trabzonspor
Samsunspor3 – 1Trabzonspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Samsunsporvs
Trabzonspor
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 56.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 58.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Samsunspor's 10 matches and 2 of Trabzonspor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?