Ecuador vs Germany Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
⚽ Group Stage, Match 3
☀️Clear Sky28°C / 82°F
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
4.82
19%
DRAW
3.73
25%
AWAY WIN
1.68
56%
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Germany
Expected: Germany by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Ecuador 17%Draw 24%Germany 59%
xG: 0.77Expected goalsxG: 1.68
Ecuador vs Germany looks like a Germany-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Germany holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
56%
Germany to Win
Home: 19% Draw: 25% Away: 56%
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
Germany stronger
Ecuador: 1492 (#26) · Germany: 1641 (#6)
H2H Record ?
0–0–2
Germany leads
Avg 4.5 goals/game · 2 meetings
Ecuador
Germany
#3
Position ?
#1
0
Points ?
3
0W 0D 1L
Record ?
1W 0D 0L
0
Goals For ?
7
1
Goals Against ?
1
-1
Goal Diff
+6
#23
FIFA Rank ?
#10
0.2%
Win Prob ?
4.7%
L
Form ?
W
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
20 Jun 2006FIFA World CupGermany3–0Ecuador
Last 2 Meetings (All Competitions)
29 May 2013FriendlyEcuador2–4NGermany
20 Jun 2006World CupGermany3–0Ecuador