Japan vs Sweden Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
⚽ Group Stage, Match 3
☀️Clear Sky31°C / 88°F
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
2.12
44%
DRAW
3.42
27%
AWAY WIN
3.32
28%
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Japan
Expected: Japan by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Japan 62%Draw 23%Sweden 15%
xG: 1.73Expected goalsxG: 0.72
Japan vs Sweden looks like a Japan-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Japan holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
44%
Japan to Win
Home: 44% Draw: 27% Away: 28%
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
Japan stronger
Japan: 1586 (#14) · Sweden: 1420 (#35)
H2H Record ?
0–3–1
Sweden leads
Avg 2.2 goals/game · 4 meetings
Japan
Sweden
#2
Position ?
#1
1
Points ?
3
0W 1D 0L
Record ?
1W 0D 0L
2
Goals For ?
5
2
Goals Against ?
1
0
Goal Diff
+4
#18
FIFA Rank ?
#38
0.9%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
D
Form ?
W
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 4 Meetings (All Competitions)
25 May 2002FriendlyJapan1–1Sweden
13 Feb 1997King's CupJapan0–1NSweden
22 Feb 1996Lunar New Year CupJapan1–1NSweden
10 Jun 1995FriendlySweden2–2NJapan
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
Clear model favourite: Japan at 62% win probability.