Mexico vs South Korea Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
⚽ Group Stage, Match 2
☁️Overcast17°C / 63°F
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
2.03
48%
DRAW
3.37
29%
AWAY WIN
4.07
24%
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Tight game — likely a one-goal margin
Confidence: Low
Mexico 52%Draw 26%South Korea 23%
xG: 1.53Expected goalsxG: 0.92
Mexico vs South Korea looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
48%
Mexico to Win
Home: 48% Draw: 29% Away: 24%
Model Rating Edge ?
Evenly Matched
Evenly Matched
Mexico: 1590 (#13) · South Korea: 1524 (#22)
H2H Record ?
5–3–2
Mexico leads
Avg 3.2 goals/game · 10 meetings
Mexico
South Korea
#1
Position ?
#2
3
Points ?
3
1W 0D 0L
Record ?
1W 0D 0L
2
Goals For ?
2
0
Goals Against ?
1
+2
Goal Diff
+1
#15
FIFA Rank ?
#25
3.0%
Win Prob ?
0.3%
W
Form ?
W
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
23 Jun 2018FIFA World CupSouth Korea1–2NMexico
13 Jun 1998FIFA World CupSouth Korea1–3NMexico
Last 10 Meetings (All Competitions)
9 Sep 2025FriendlyMexico2–2NSouth Korea
14 Nov 2020FriendlyMexico3–2NSouth Korea
23 Jun 2018World CupSouth Korea1–2NMexico
29 Jan 2014FriendlyMexico4–0NSouth Korea
15 Feb 2006FriendlyMexico0–1NSouth Korea
27 Jan 2002Gold CupMexico0–0NSouth Korea
1 Jun 2001Confederations CupSouth Korea2–1Mexico
12 Jun 1999Korea CupSouth Korea1–1Mexico
13 Jun 1998World CupSouth Korea1–3NMexico
10 Aug 1989Marlboro CupMexico4–2NSouth Korea
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.2 goals across their last 10 meetings.