Sweden vs Tunisia Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
Match Report
Match Events ?
7'Y. Ayari Sweden
30'A. Isak (V. Gyokeres)Sweden
43'O. Rekik (H. Mejbri)Tunisia
54'R. Khedira Tunisia
59'V. Gyokeres (A. Isak)Sweden
84'M. Svanberg (A. Isak)Sweden
90'Y. Ayari (L. Bergvall)Sweden
Match Statistics ?
Sweden
Tunisia
49%
Possession
51%
7
Shots on Target
2
13
Total Shots
6
4
Corners
2
10
Fouls
8
1.36
xG
0.28
Player Ratings ?
Starting Lineups ?
Sweden · 3-1-4-2
23G
2D
4D
3D
16M
21M
10M
18M
5M
17F
9F
Tunisia · 5-3-2
1G
20D
4D
3D
21D
2D
13M
17M
10M
8F
25F
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Low
Sweden 32%Draw 27%Tunisia 41%
xG: 1.12Expected goalsxG: 1.33
Sweden vs Tunisia looks like a balanced matchup based on our pre-tournament model. There is no clear favourite from our model data, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
51%
Sweden to Win
Home: 51% Draw: 28% Away: 21%
Model Rating Edge ?
Evenly Matched
Evenly Matched
Sweden: 1420 (#35) · Tunisia: 1453 (#31)
H2H Record ?
2–1–1
Sweden leads
Avg 1.2 goals/game · 4 meetings
Sweden
Tunisia
#1
Position ?
#4
3
Points ?
0
1W 0D 0L
Record ?
0W 0D 1L
5
Goals For ?
1
1
Goals Against ?
5
+4
Goal Diff
-4
#38
FIFA Rank ?
#44
0.0%
Win Prob ?
0.1%
W
Form ?
L
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 4 Meetings (All Competitions)
12 Feb 2003FriendlyTunisia1–0Sweden
10 Feb 1999FriendlyTunisia0–1Sweden
22 Apr 1992FriendlyTunisia0–1Sweden
28 Feb 1976FriendlyTunisia1–1Sweden
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
Tight H2H history — last 4 meetings averaged just 1.2 goals.
Closely matched: model gives Sweden 32% vs Tunisia 41%. Draw is a realistic outcome at 27%.