Home / World Cup 2026 / Tunisia vs Netherlands

Tunisia vs Netherlands Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 3
Thursday 25 June 2026  ·  23:00 UTC  ·  Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
🌫️Fog27°C / 81°F
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
8.85
10%
DRAW
5.24
18%
AWAY WIN
1.29
72%

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Netherlands
Expected: Netherlands by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Tunisia 15%Draw 23%Netherlands 62%
xG: 0.71Expected goalsxG: 1.74

Tunisia vs Netherlands looks like a Netherlands-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Netherlands holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
72%
Netherlands to Win
Home: 10%  Draw: 18%  Away: 72%
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
Netherlands stronger
Tunisia: 1453 (#31)  ·  Netherlands: 1622 (#8)
H2H Record ?
0–2–1
Netherlands leads
Avg 3.3 goals/game · 3 meetings
Tunisia
Netherlands
#4
Position ?
#3
0
Points ?
1
0W 0D 1L
Record ?
0W 1D 0L
1
Goals For ?
2
5
Goals Against ?
2
-4
Goal Diff
0
#44
FIFA Rank ?
#7
0.1%
Win Prob ?
3.0%
L
Form ?
D

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 3 Meetings (All Competitions)
0Tunisia
2Draw
1Netherlands
11 Feb 2009FriendlyTunisia1–1Netherlands
19 Jan 1994FriendlyTunisia2–2Netherlands
5 Apr 1978FriendlyTunisia0–4Netherlands
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
🔥High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.3 goals across their last 3 meetings.
🎯Clear model favourite: Netherlands at 62% win probability.
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