USA vs Paraguay Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026
Match Report
Match Events ?
7'D. Bobadilla USA
10'J. Caceres Paraguay
31'F. Balogun (C. Pulisic)USA
45'F. Balogun (M. Tillman)USA
53'M. Almiron Paraguay
59'T. Adams USA
73'Mauricio (J. Enciso)Paraguay
79'D. Gomez Paraguay
88'A. Arce Paraguay
90'J. Alonso Paraguay
90'G. Reyna (A. Freeman)USA
Match Statistics ?
USA
Paraguay
65%
Possession
35%
6
Shots on Target
1
16
Total Shots
9
3
Corners
1
13
Fouls
17
1.27
xG
0.51
Player Ratings ?
Starting Lineups ?
USA · 4-2-3-1
24G
16D
3D
13D
5D
4M
17M
2M
8M
10M
20F
Paraguay · 4-4-2
12G
4D
15D
3D
6D
8M
14M
16M
10M
9F
19F
Predictions
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: USA
Expected: USA by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
USA 59%Draw 24%Paraguay 17%
xG: 1.69Expected goalsxG: 0.76
USA vs Paraguay looks like a USA-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. USA holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
46%
USA to Win
Home: 46% Draw: 30% Away: 24%
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
USA stronger
USA: 1548 (#17) · Paraguay: 1433 (#32)
H2H Record ?
5–2–2
USA leads
Avg 2.1 goals/game · 9 meetings
USA
Paraguay
#1
Position ?
#4
3
Points ?
0
1W 0D 0L
Record ?
0W 0D 1L
4
Goals For ?
1
1
Goals Against ?
4
+3
Goal Diff
-3
#16
FIFA Rank ?
#40
1.6%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
W
Form ?
L
Head-to-Head History
Previous World Cup Meetings
17 Jul 1930FIFA World CupParaguay0–3NUSA
Last 9 Meetings (All Competitions)
15 Nov 2025FriendlyUSA2–1Paraguay
27 Mar 2018FriendlyUSA1–0Paraguay
11 Jun 2016Copa AméricaUSA1–0Paraguay
29 Mar 2011FriendlyUSA0–1Paraguay
2 Jul 2007Copa AméricaUSA1–3NParaguay
6 Jul 2003FriendlyUSA2–0Paraguay
14 Mar 1998FriendlyUSA2–2Paraguay
4 Jun 1997FriendlyUSA0–0Paraguay
17 Jul 1930World CupParaguay0–3NUSA